Probily is a decentralized prediction market protocol enabling anyone to trade on the outcome of real-world events with on-chain settlement and transparent resolution.
We believe that prediction markets are the most accurate tool ever created for forecasting future events. By enabling anyone to trade on outcomes, Probily harnesses collective intelligence to produce probability estimates that consistently outperform polls, pundits, and statistical models.
Our mission is to build the most trusted, transparent, and liquid prediction market in the world — where information is valued, forecasts are accurate, and every settlement is verifiable on-chain.
Every trade and resolution is recorded on Polygon. No trust required — verify everything yourself on-chain.
Your funds are controlled by smart contracts, not by Probily. We never have access to your assets.
Trade using USDC, ETH, BTC, SOL, or BNB. The most supported crypto assets of any prediction market.
Hybrid liquidity model combining an automated market maker with a full limit order book for professional traders.
Not just Yes/No. Trade on events with 5, 10, or more possible outcomes — like elections and awards.
Every market has published resolution criteria and named sources. Disputes are resolved by committee within 48 hours.
Probily is backed by leading investors in crypto and fintech. We are currently in discussions with top-tier venture capital firms for our Series A round.